Unexpected Envoy Advancing Ukraine Ceasefire Proposal Reveals Vance Impact on US Policy
America's Secretary of the Army, Dan Driscoll, was an surprising envoy for the Trump administration latest initiative to resolve the Russian invasion in Ukraine. Driscoll's close relationship with JD Vance has placed a close associate of the Eurosceptic vice-president at the center of Donald Trump latest effort to conclude the war.
Prior to his last week's visit to Kyiv, Driscoll was not known as a mediator or diplomat, and his initial attempts to promote the agreement to European policymakers were labeled turbulent.
Driscoll's close ties with Vance, with whom he studied and maintains a close friendship, signal the resurgence of the non-interventionist VP in talks to end the Ukraine crisis.
The VP's Involvement in Peace Efforts
It was Vance who intervened during Ukraine's president's disastrous first trip to the White House in March and insisted he show Trump more courtesy. Currently, Ukraine is once again pushing back against demands from the US to agree to a swift settlement that Ukrainian leaders have described as a surrender.
After a tumultuous first year in office, foreign policy actions in the White House are said to be shaped by a small group of Trump's top aides, including top aide Susie Wiles, rightwing adviser Stephen Miller, diplomat Steve Witkoff, State Department head Marco Rubio, and of course Vance.
Vance has been a outspoken advocate of the recent plan, which was developed by Witkoff and Trump's relative Jared Kushner, alongside the Kremlin envoy Kirill Dmitriev.
“All criticism of the peace framework the White House is working on either misinterprets the framework or misstates some critical situation on the ground,” the VP wrote.
Initial Attempts and European Responses
Vance's early efforts at hammering out a peace deal with Russia, while also attempting to renew relations with Moscow, were fruitless and left his camp feeling frustrated with their Russian interlocutors. European officials, in turn, were irritated by his early remarks, in which he accused them of ignoring their voters, who Vance said held restrictionist and conservative views similar to those of Trump's own constituency.
But, the recently published peace deal mirrored his positions, and he has been one of the most forceful spokespeople for the agreement in the administration, even as the US has been under fire for accepting a peace framework that largely echoes Vladimir Putin's maximalist demands.
In posts this weekend, Vance argued that a ceasefire agreement would have to establish a truce that respected Ukrainian sovereignty, be agreeable to both sides, and stop the war from resuming.
“Peace won’t be made by unsuccessful negotiators or politicians residing in a fantasy land,” he continued. “An agreement might be made by intelligent people living in the real world.”
It was Vance who continued on the presentation of the ceasefire proposal in a phone call with Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Trump had primarily tasked his staff with obtaining a agreement on the ceasefire accord prior to Thanksgiving this Thursday in the United States.
Rubio's Reaction and Private Concerns
That was a distinctly more enthusiastic support of the proposal than that expressed by the top diplomat and security advisor, Marco Rubio, a more traditional hawk in the administration who has gone from a uncertain stature inside the administration to more firm standing.
Rubio was part of a US team that traveled to Geneva this weekend to meet with Ukrainian leaders to help moderate the initial 28-point peace plan in order to make it more palatable to authorities in Kyiv.
However, his first reaction to the deal was lukewarm:
“Ending a complex and deadly conflict such as the one in Ukraine demands an thorough exchange of serious and pragmatic proposals,” Rubio wrote recently. “Furthermore, securing a lasting ceasefire will necessitate both sides to consent to difficult but necessary compromises. That is why we are and will continue to develop a list of possible solutions for ending this conflict based on input from both sides of this war.”
In private, he was reportedly much more doubtful of the proposal. The GOP lawmaker Mike Rounds stated last week at the Halifax International Security Forum in Nova Scotia that Rubio had called lawmakers to clarify that the agreement was just a preliminary offer from the Russians and not an plan pushed by the administration.
“The Secretary did make a phone call to us this afternoon and I think he emphasized to us that we are the receivers of a proposal that was presented to one of our officials,” said Rounds. “The document is not our recommendation, it is not our peace plan.”
Rubio acted swiftly to fall in line. “The peace proposal was written by the US,” he subsequently wrote. “It is presented as a strong structure for continuing negotiations. The proposal is based on input from the Russian side. But, it is also based on previous and ongoing input from Ukraine.”